A study on the early-warning technique concerning debris flow disasters     

ZHOU Jinxing  Wang Lixian  XIE Baoyuan  FEI Shimin  Wang Xilin 《地理学报(英文版)》2002,12(3)

According to the principle of the eruption of debris flows, the new torrent classification techniques are brought forward. The torrent there can be divided into 4 types such as the debris flow torrent with high destructive strength, the debris flow torrent, high sand-carrying capacity flush flood torrent and common flush flood by the techniques. In this paper, the classification indices system and the quantitative rating methods are presented. Based on torrent classification, debris flow torrent hazard zone mapping techniques by which the debris flow disaster early-warning object can be ascertained accurately are identified. The key techniques of building the debris flow disaster neural network (NN)real time forecasting model are given detailed explanations in this paper, including the determination of neural node at the input layer, the output layer and the implicit layer, the construction of knowledge source and the initial weight value and so on. With this technique, the debris flow disaster real-time forecasting neural network model is built according to the rainfall features of the historical debris flow disasters, which includes multiple rain factors such as rainfall of the disaster day, the rainfall of 15 days before the disaster day, the maximal rate of rainfall in one hour and ten minutes. It can forecast the probability, critical rainfall of eruption of the debris flows, through the real-time rainfall monitoring or weather forecasting. Based on the torrent classification and hazard zone mapping, combined with rainfall monitoring in the rainy season and real-time forecasting models, the debris flow disaster early-warning system is built. In this system, the GIS technique, the advanced international software and hardware are applied, which makes the system′s performance steady with good expansibility. The system is a visual information system that serves management and decision-making, which can facilitate timely inspect of the variation of the torrent type and hazardous zone, the torrent management, the early-warning of disasters and the disaster reduction and prevention.  相似文献   

长白山自然保护区旅游灾害及其防治对策   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

佟守正  王琦  李光  吕弼顺 《山地学报》2002,(Z1)

旅游灾害越来越受到人们的重视,文章通过对长白山自然保护区常见灾害类型的分析,建立了灾害管理系 统框架模型,为降低和消除旅游灾害,提出了防范对策。  相似文献   

两湖平原农业洪害特征与减灾技术措施   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陶建平  张安录  李翠霞 《地域研究与开发》2003,22(2):75-78

两湖平原是我国农业水资源最丰富的地区之一，河湖水系四通八达，农业生产条件优越。由于人类不适当的经济活动，大规模围湖垦殖破坏了两湖平原自然生态环境，洪涝频繁发生，农业损失严重。两湖平原必须实施综合性的农业减灾技术措施：长江上中游地区实施退耕还林、全面启动天然林保护工程，保持水土；两湖地区实行退田还湖，提高湖泊分蓄洪能力；应用GPS、GIS技术预警，有效调度洪水；调整湖区农业结构，发展避洪农业。  相似文献   

贵州省低纬山地气候变化趋势   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

吉廷艳 《山地学报》2003,21(4):422-427

对贵州气温、降水、灾害指数等要素的气候变化分析表明:20世纪40年代前后贵州处于一个相对温暖时期(这一时期也是北半球大陆气温自1930～1960年代初的明显暖期中),1960～1970年代是一个相对较冷时段,但趋势变化曲线反应出贵州气温呈下降趋势(与全球气候变暖趋势相反),主要表现在春季和夏季变冷明显,秋季和冬季略有变暖;贵州降水趋于减少,主要反应为春季减少较为明显,夏、秋季变化不大,冬季呈增加趋势;各种灾害指数的趋势变化中,春季的倒春寒、夏季的洪涝趋于偏重,秋季的绵雨、冬季的低温和凝冻趋于偏轻,而春旱、夏旱和秋风变化不明显,但春旱存在明显的周期性变化特征;旱涝指数的小波分析指出贵州旱涝有两个比较明显的全域性周期变化,分别是32a和10a周期。  相似文献   

Exploring some relationships between biological soil crusts, soil aggregation and wind erosion   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

David J. Eldridge  John F. Leys 《Journal of Arid Environments》2003,53(4):457-466

A portable wind tunnel was used to test the contribution of biological and physical elements to overall soil aggregation on a soil dominated by biological soil crusts in south-eastern Australia. After moderate disturbance and simulated wind erosion, 90% of surface aggregates on the loamy soil and 76% on the sandy soil were dominated by biological elements (cryptogams). Lower levels of biological bonding were observed on the severely disturbed treatment. Linear regression indicated a significant positive relationship (r²=0·72) between biological soil crust cover and dry aggregation levels greater than 0·85mm. To maintain sediment transport below an erosion control target of 5gm⁻¹s⁻¹ for a 65kmh⁻¹ wind at 10m height, a crust cover of approximately 20% is required. When a multiple regression model which sequentially fitted biological crust cover and dry aggregation greater than 0·85mm was applied to the data, dry aggregation accounted for more of the variation in sediment transport rate than biological crust cover. These data were used to develop a conceptual model which integrates crust cover and dry aggregation, and provides a useful framework within which to predict the likely impacts of changes in soil crust cover and aggregation.  相似文献   

对中国防洪减灾问题的基本认识和建立具有中国特色的防洪减灾体系的初步设想   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

徐乾清 《水文》2003,23(2):1-7

阐述了防洪成灾的基本认识及防洪减灾对策的发展过程，分析了中国洪水灾害分布的特征和防洪减灾基本对策的要求，探讨了建立具有中国特色的防洪成灾体系，提出了当前防洪成灾研究规划中出现的若干问题。  相似文献   

热害矿井巷道温度场分布规律研究   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

张树光  孙树魁  张向东  薛强 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2003,14(3):9-11

为解决深部开采带来的热害问题，基于地质学和热力学理论，建立了热害矿井巷道温度场的数学模型，研究了巷道内部温度场随埋深和通风热速的变化规律。计算结果表明，巷道温度场对埋深的敏感度要高于风速、温度随埋深的增加而呈阶段性递增。控制入口温度是解决矿井热害的关键。以上结论为矿井热害的综合治理提供了重要依据。  相似文献   

层次分析法在太行山区地质灾害危险性分区中的应用   总被引：18，自引：0，他引：18  

褚洪斌  母海东  王金哲 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2003,14(3):125-129

层次分析方法是一种定性与定量相结合的多目标决策分析方法。是解决类似地质环境问题的这种目标结构复杂且又缺乏系统资料的研究问题的一条有效途径。地质灾害的发生与其所处的背景条件密切相关。当一种地质灾害具备了产生的内在条件并与适当的外在诱发条件相结合，即构成它产生的充分必要条件。否则，它具有一定的潜在危害性。论文采用层次分析法通过对河北省太行山地区地质灾害主要影响因素的分析，以滑坡、泥石流、崩塌、水土流失等为计算样本。计算出各地质灾害影响因素对计算样本的影响权重，并通过计算机进行网络剖分、因素叠加，计算出单位面积的单灾种评价指数和综合性评价指数，用以表征整个地区地质灾害的危险性。  相似文献   

新疆地质环境主要问题   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

苟新华  郑玉洁  张玲 《新疆地质》2003,21(3):344-348

新疆气候干旱，降水稀少，蒸发强烈，水资源相对短缺且时空分布不均．山区、沙漠盐碱地、戈壁占地面积大，分布广泛，植被稀疏，绿洲分布有限，生态地质环境脆弱，盆地及周围地质环境破坏严重．山前平原。人类活动集中，工程建设引发的水资源失调拮竭，水质恶化，植被消减，土地荒漠化煤层自燃等问题日益突出．这些问题威胁制约着区域生态环境的良性循环，本从原生地质环境和次生地质环境及地质灾害方面，论述区域地质环境状况，阐明地质环境中存在的主要问题及其灾害，提出综合防治措施。  相似文献   

金属腐蚀探测   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

张守本 《铀矿地质》2003,19(2):114-118

本阐述了金属腐蚀的危害性和金属管道腐蚀探测的迫切性，并介绍了几种具有探测腐蚀功能的物探方法。  相似文献